Bold claim: If ACA subsidies lapse at year’s end, millions could face steeper health costs and more people could lose coverage. Sanders warns the clock is ticking, and the country isn’t ready for the consequences if Congress doesn’t act before the new year. Here’s what’s unfolding and why it matters.
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) voiced strong concern that Affordable Care Act (ACA) subsidies may not be renewed before the end of the year. In an interview with CNN’s Kaitlan Collins on The Source, the Vermont progressive called the potential expiration “a tragedy,” emphasizing that many Americans are unprepared for the impact if the subsidies lapse as scheduled at month’s end without legislative action.
Key votes are looming. On Thursday, the Senate plans to decide between competing health-care proposals from Democrats and Republicans. Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer (N.Y.) is pushing a three-year extension of the tax credits that were first created during the COVID-19 emergency and later extended by the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022.
However, Schumer’s plan faces hurdles. Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) has signaled a willingness to bring a vote on extending the subsidies in exchange for resolving the ongoing government shutdown, but expectations are that Schumer’s measure will fail to pass.
In contrast, Republicans are backing a range of health-care ideas. For instance, on Monday, Senators Susan Collins (R-Maine) and Bernie Moreno (R-Ohio) introduced a two-year extension proposal that would also impose income caps on eligibility.
Other GOP ideas seek to repurpose the subsidies. Senators Bill Cassidy (R-La.) and Mike Crapo (R-Idaho) have proposed redirecting subsidies away from insurance companies and into Health Savings Accounts paired with bronze or catastrophic plans offered on ACA exchanges. The Senate is set to vote on that plan on Thursday.
If subsidies disappear on December 31, premium costs could rise for millions. The Congressional Research Service (CRS) estimated that, without an extension, gross benchmark premiums would rise by about 4.3% in 2026, 7.7% in 2027, and roughly 7.9% annually from 2028 through 2034.
CRS also projected that the uninsured count would climb, with increases of about 2.2 million next year, 3.7 million in 2027, and an average of 3.8 million annually from 2026 to 2034 without continuation of the credits.
Bottom line: the policy decision in the coming days could shape how affordable health coverage remains for many Americans next year and beyond. Do you think Congress will reach a bipartisan path, or will the subsidies lapse as deadlines approach? Share your thoughts below."}